Table of Contents

• Coverage
• Dataset Description
  • Methods & Sampling
  • Data Processing Description
• Data Files
• Related Publications
• Related Datasets
• Parameters
• Instruments
• Project Information
• Funding

Abundance of macroalgae was examined by measuring percent cover at Cabritte Horn on the south shore of St. John, US Virgin Islands across three decades.  Photographic sampling of quadrats was performed annually from 1992 to 2020 using cameras mounted on a framer at a fixed height above the reef.  Color slide film was used from 1992–2000 (and digitized at 4000 dpi), with digital photography implemented in 2001. Photoquadrats were recorded at random positions along the transect, which was 20 meters long from 1992–1999 and 40 meters long from 2000 onward when the sample size was increased to ~40 photoquadrats per year.   

For details on association with Millepora spp., see Related Datasets section below.  To access images, see Related Publications section below for link to Coral Image Downloads and Viewer (Cabritte Horn images under "Random Sites")   

The photoquadrats were used to determine the percentage cover of benthic space holders using CoralNet software (Williams et al, 2019; Chen et al, 2021) with 200 random points on each image that were manually annotated. All aspects of the benthic community were quantified, but here only the cover of macroalgae is reported.

Statistical analyses
Macroalgal cover (arcsine transformed), the morphology of Millepora sp. (log transformed), and temperature were compared among years using one way ANOVAs with Bonferonni post hoc analyses to compare between years (using Systat 13 software). 

BCO-DMO processing
- added columns for latitude and longitude
- converted Date to YMD format
- added columns for location and camera type
- added conventional header with dataset name, PI name, version date
- modified parameter names to conform with BCO-DMO naming conventions

NSF Award Abstract:
The coral reef crisis refers to the high rates of death affecting tropical reef-building corals throughout the world, and the strong likelihood that coral reefs will become functionally extinct within the current century. Knowledge of these trends comes from the monitoring of coral reefs to evaluate their health over time, with the most informative projects providing high-resolution information extending over decades. Such projects describe both how reefs are changing, and answer questions addressing the causes of the changes and the form in which reefs will persist in the future. This project focuses on coral reefs in United States waters, specifically around St. John in the US Virgin Islands. These reefs are protected within the Virgin Islands National Park, and have been studied more consistently and in greater detail than most reefs anywhere in the world. Building from 33 years of research, this project extends monitoring of these habitats by another five years, and uses the emerging base of knowledge, and the biological laboratory created by the reefs of St. John, to address the causes and consequences of the bottleneck preventing baby corals from repopulating the reefs. The work is accomplished with annual expeditions, staffed by faculty, graduate students, undergraduates, and teachers, coupled with analyses of samples at California State University, Northridge, and Florida State University, Tallahassee. The students and teachers assist with the research goals at the center of this project, but also engage in independent study and integrate with the rich and diverse societal context and natural history of the Caribbean. The scope of the science agenda extends to schools in California, where students are introduced to the roles played by marine animals in ecosystem health, concepts of long-term change in the biological world, and the role of science engagement in promoting positive environmental outcomes. In addition to generating a wide spectrum of project deliverables focusing on scientific discovery, the project promotes STEM careers and train globally aware scientists and educators capable of supporting the science agenda of the United States in the 21st Century.

This project leverages one of the longest time-series analyses of Caribbean coral reefs to extend the time-series from 33 to 38 years, and it tests hypotheses addressing the causes and consequences of changing coral reef community structure. The project focuses on reefs within the Virgin Islands National Park (VINP) and along the shore of St. John, US Virgin Islands, and is integrated with stakeholders working in conservation (VINP) and local academia (University of the Virgin Islands). Beginning in 1987, the project has addressed detail-oriented analyses within a small spatial area that complements the large-scale analyses conducted by the VINP. The results of these efforts create an unrivaled context within which ecologically relevant hypotheses can be tested to elucidate mechanisms driving ecological change. Building from image- and survey- based analyses, 33 years of data reveal the extent to which these reefs have transitioned to a low-abundance coral state, and the importance of the bottleneck preventing coral recruits from contributing to adult size classes. The intellectual merits of this project leverage these discoveries to address eight hypotheses: (H1) long-term changes are defining a cryptic regime change, with the low coral abundance reinforced by, (H2) enhanced community resilience, (H3) low post-settlement success, (H4) negative effects of peyssonnelid algal crusts (PAC) on juvenile corals, (H5) inability of juvenile corals to match their phenotypes to future conditions, (H6) impaired population growth caused by reduced genetic diversity, (H7) the premium placed on PAC-free halos around Diadema sea urchins for coral recruitment, and (H8) biotic homogenization occurring on a landscape-scale.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

Related Projects:

• Affiliated with MCR-LTER - https://www.bco-dmo.org/project/2222
• Serves as a new project that builds on NSF DEB-1350146 - RUI-LTREB Renewal: Three decades of coral reef community dynamics in St. John, USVI: 2014-2019 - https://www.bco-dmo.org/project/734983
• Overlaps with OCE 17-56678 (which focuses on soft corals with H. Lasker) - Collaborative Research: Pattern and process in the abundance and recruitment of Caribbean octocorals - https://www.bco-dmo.org/project/752508
• LTREB Long-term coral reef community dynamics in St. John, USVI: 1987-2019 - https://www.bco-dmo.org/project/2272
• RUI: Pattern and process in four decades of change on Caribbean reefs - https://www.bco-dmo.org/project/835192
• RAPID: Hurricane Irma: Effects of repeated severe storms on shallow Caribbean reefs and their changing ecological resilience - https://www.bco-dmo.org/project/722163